Chasing a flush on the web – Occasionally the numbers just do not add up!

There’s an age old debate in poker – need to you chase a flush? First of all we have to define what we mean here by "chasing a flush on the internet."

Chasing anything in Texas hold em poker may be the practice of wagering to stay in a palm in the hope which you will generate a greater palm, even though you may well have absolutely nothing at the time. So chasing a flush signifies wagering which you will receive the card or card that you need to complete your flush palm on the turn or river. You cannot chase a flush before the flop because at that time you only have two cards so the flush isn’t on.

So let us say you are playing one of the big poker web-sites on-line, you’ve been dealt the Ace and 9 of spades and you have paid to see the flop.

The flop is 2s seven-s Kd and one of your competitors comes out betting strongly with a fair sized increase, what do you do?

First of all ask yourself what kind of hands you happen to be up against. The possibilities are triples, an additional flush draw, a pair of Kings or a complete bluff, so as it stands you’re only winning against the bluff with your Ace. About the other hands should you hit a spade in the last 2 cards you’ve the nut flush and could only lose to a full house or 4 of a kind.

Within the face of it you may well assume that statistically you’ve got about a 50-50 likelihood of hitting your spade, after all there is two cards to arrive and 4 suits so there must be about a half probability, right?


You already have 2 of the spades in your hands and there is yet another two showing within the table, so you know five cards and 4 of them are spades. That suggests you might have nine spades left offered out of the forty seven cards you haven’t seen, which is only a 42 % opportunity of catching your flush.

In case you do bet on the turn and don’t produce your flush, what do you do then? You’ve probably now grow to be pot-committed, you’ve got put so a lot into the pot that you simply may possibly as nicely wager again within the river unless there’s a major raise or all-in towards you, except now your odds of generating the flush have dropped dramatically to only twenty one %.

Except what of that other factor, the mysterious web poker syndrome? What I mean by that is even though you statistically have a 42 percent possibility of generating a flush, is that what really occurs in reality? If you played the very same hand in the very same internet based poker table one hundred occasions would you receive a flush forty two occasions? From my personal understanding I doubt it. Flushes seem to come around a whole lot much less generally than forty two out of one hundred occasions!

That’s just my own opinion and I am sure the poker sites would tell you a various story, but the way I see it is forty two percent may be the very Finest you happen to be ever going to have and you may possibly well have a whole lot less likelihood than that of hitting your flush.

Bottom line? Chasing a flush on-line is really a incredibly risky technique that sucks you in and over commits you, with out giving you sufficient of a likelihood of pulling out the winning hand.